6 publishers · first seen Wed, 28 Oct 2026 09:00 UTC · updated Thu, 29 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC
Harry Enten, CNN's chief data analyst, has predicted that Democrats will win 223 seats in the House of Representatives in the upcoming midterm elections, exceeding the 218 needed for a majority. Enten's forecast, based on averaging election models, indicates a significant shift from a year ago when 206 seats leaned Democratic. He noted that 17 races remain toss-ups, but Democrats are in a strong position to gain a substantial majority. President Donald Trump has campaigned heavily for Republican candidates and offered $5,000 to Americans if Republicans retain control, but has acknowledged Enten's credibility despite the unfavorable prediction.
A New York Times/Siena University poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 11 points nationally in congressional voting preference, with 52 percent supporting Democratic candidates and 41 percent supporting Republicans. Some Democratic lawmakers and candidates, including Rep. Steve Cohen and Senate nominee N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, have called for Trump's impeachment if Democrats win the House. While party leaders have not made impeachment a central issue, they have not ruled it out.
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